Scenario Planning and Horizon Scanning

9 Mar 2027

Online

Tony Cash

£320

Anticipate future risks, identify emerging trends and make better policy decisions

Overview

This practical course is designed to help you develop the skills and confidence to anticipate change, identify emerging risks and opportunities, and support better decision‑making in government and public‑sector contexts.

Public‑sector organisations operate in increasingly complex and uncertain environments. Policy and delivery decisions must often be made with incomplete information, while responding to economic, social and technological change.

This course focuses on how to use scenario planning and horizon scanning to make sense of uncertainty, explore possible futures, and strengthen policy and strategy. You will work through practical approaches to identifying trends, assessing risks, and using structured techniques to inform decision‑making.


Who should attend?

This course is ideal for policy professionals, analysts, advisors, managers, and anyone in the public sector involved in strategy, planning or decision‑making.

It is particularly relevant for those working in policy development, strategy, risk, innovation, and transformation roles.


What You’ll Gain:

By attending this course, you will develop a practical and structured approach to anticipating change and planning for the future. You will learn to:

  • Identify emerging trends and signals of change
  • Understand the role of uncertainty in policy and strategy
  • Apply structured horizon scanning techniques
  • Develop and use scenarios to inform decision‑making
  • Assess risks and opportunities across different futures
  • Support better long‑term planning and policy outcomes

Course Timing

  Time Zone   Start Time   Finish Time
  Coordinated Universal Time (UTC)   12:00   16:30
  Eastern Time (ET)   08:00   12:30
  United Kingdom (UK)   13:00   17:30

Currency & Pricing

Course fees are automatically displayed in your local currency during registration.

  • Select your country in the registration form
  • The system detects your region
  • Prices are converted into your local currency automatically
  • Exchange rates are updated dynamically at checkout

Need to pay by invoice? Once you have entered your details, you can select Pay by Invoice from the payment options.

Testimonials

“The Scenario Planning and Horizon Scanning course brought a helpful combination of exercises, presented material and utilizing tools in relation to the topic” – Clinical Director, Department of Court Services, Government of Bermuda

“The right tone – and good balance between information we’re being given and trailing things out in breakouts” – Head of Risk and Assurance, Government Property Agency, United Kingdom

“The course helps compromise the framework for considerations as we are currently amending the Juvenile Act to make
provisions for a Juvenile & Family treatment court as well as a Domestic Violence Court. Being able to ask the right
questions that would allow us to identify and understand future challenges is critical” – Acting CMU Manager, Department of Court Services, Government of Bermuda

“I appreciated how the trainer shared the concepts, then gave us time to practice them using issues that are relevant to our
respective workplaces.” – Director, Department of Court Services, Government of Bermuda

£320

Course Agenda

Welcome and introductions


Session One: Understanding uncertainty and change

  • The role of uncertainty in government decision‑making
  • Why traditional planning approaches can fall short
  • Understanding drivers of change and external pressures
  • Introduction to horizon scanning and scenario planning

Break


Session Two: Horizon scanning in practice

  • Identifying trends, signals and emerging issues
  • Sources of information and evidence
  • Assessing relevance and impact
  • Prioritising risks and opportunities

Break


Session Three: Scenario planning

  • What scenarios are and how they are used
  • Developing realistic and useful scenarios
  • Exploring different possible futures
  • Using scenarios to test policy and strategy

Session Four: Applying insights to decision‑making

  • Using scenarios to inform policy and planning
  • Communicating uncertainty and risk clearly
  • Supporting strategic conversations
  • Applying tools to real‑world public‑sector challenges

Conclusion and final questions

  • Key takeaways
  • Applying learning in your role
  • Next steps
  • Close of course

£320

9 Mar 2027

Online

Tony Cash

About Your Trainer: Professor Zoë Collier

Senior public sector training in policy, strategy and government leadership Professor Zoë Collier is an internationally experienced public sector trainer with over 30 years of experience working in and with the UK civil service and governments around the world. She specialises in policy development, strategic thinking, political awareness and leadership capability for government professionals. Zoë…

Find out more about Professor Zoë Collier